Well, I would need some further data to figure out the rate of growth in the past few weeks, months, and year. Also, I'd like to look at past years cyclical seasonal data to determine whether new poster growth increases or decreases when the fishing starts. Hmm...but if I had to just take a wild guess, I'd say you guys are too early. Given the three years the site has been up and the current 1890? members, thats roughly in the neighborhood of 50 members a month. Hmm...two more months. But, assuming the rate of growth has been increasing, we would knock that down to a month and a half, which would put us somewhere around May 26th.
See I told you you guys were too early on your guesses.
